L’École des cotes

Washington Capitals v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prévision 56.88%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.90%56.96%56.85%58.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.681.681.7265.36%59.66%59.52%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.12%2.32cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.742%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%43.04%43.15%44.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.222.222.2848.31%45.12%45.05%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:00
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.12%E -0.935%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:00
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:55
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 00:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -10.75%E -5.19%K -10.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-26 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-26 00:00
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-26 00:00
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-02-26 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-25 23:59
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.84%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%3.7%2026-02-26 00:00
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-02-25 23:59
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-02-26 00:00
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%7.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-02-26 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%10.7%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 44.90%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%10.8%2026-02-26 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-02-25 23:57
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-02-25 23:59