La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v New Jersey Devils

Inizio: 2026-03-20 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 53.30%1.88quota equa
EV -0.337%
Vantaggio -0.180%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.05%53.28%53.25%55.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.791.801.8761.35%55.85%55.56%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New Jersey Devils (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.70%2.14quota equa
EV -0.053%
Vantaggio -0.025%
Kelly -0.046%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.85%46.72%46.75%48.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.042.052.1452.63%48.99%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.337%E -0.180%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.53%E -3.80%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:00
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.53%E -3.80%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -7.06%E -3.55%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.45%E -0.689%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 22:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:24
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:25
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:59
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 05:20
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.20%E -3.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 22:25
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:20
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.053%E -0.025%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.053%E -0.025%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:04
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.987%E -0.466%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 13:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.13%E -8.05%K -20.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.26%E -5.93%K -12.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 22:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-20 22:59
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-20 23:00
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-20 22:59

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 21:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:04
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-03-20 22:59
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.10%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-20 22:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.7%2026-03-20 22:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-20 13:05
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-20 22:48
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-20 23:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-20 13:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-20 22:50
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%8.9%2026-03-20 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%11.2%2026-03-20 22:55