L’École des cotes

Washington Capitals v New Jersey Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prévision 53.30%1.88cote équitable
EV -0.337%
Avantage -0.180%
Kelly -0.387%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.28%53.25%55.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.791.801.8761.35%55.85%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Jersey Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.70%2.14cote équitable
EV -0.053%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.85%46.72%46.75%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.042.052.1452.63%48.99%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.337%E -0.180%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.53%E -3.80%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:00
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.53%E -3.80%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.00%E -1.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -7.06%E -3.55%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.45%E -0.689%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 22:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:24
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:25
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:59
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 05:20
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.20%E -3.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 22:25
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:20
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.053%E -0.025%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.053%E -0.025%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:04
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.987%E -0.466%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 13:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.13%E -8.05%K -20.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.26%E -5.93%K -12.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 22:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-20 22:59
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-20 23:00
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-20 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 21:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-20 13:04
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-03-20 22:59
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.10%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-20 22:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.7%2026-03-20 22:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-20 13:04
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-20 13:05
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-20 22:48
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-20 23:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-20 13:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-20 22:50
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%8.9%2026-03-20 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-20 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%11.2%2026-03-20 22:55