Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Washington Capitals v Buffalo Sabres
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Capitals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 48.57%2.06kurs godziwy
EV -0.430%
Przewaga -0.210%
Kelly -0.410%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.75%48.44%48.58%49.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.811.961.952.0555.25%50.92%51.28%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Buffalo Sabres (Goście)
Prognoza 51.43%1.94kurs godziwy
EV -2.80%
Przewaga -1.48%
Kelly -3.14%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.89
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.78%51.56%51.42%53.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.851.851.8958.48%54.02%54.05%52.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.430%E -0.210%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.89%E -0.934%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 06:04 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 21:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:54 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:29 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 03:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 21:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 04:15 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.09%E -6.68%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.06%E -7.05%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 22:15 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.73% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |