L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Washington Capitals v Buffalo Sabres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Capitals (Local)
Prévision 48.57%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.430%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.44%48.58%49.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.0555.25%50.92%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.43%1.94cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.78%51.56%51.42%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.851.851.8958.48%54.02%54.05%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.430%E -0.210%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.89%E -0.934%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 06:04 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 21:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:54 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:29 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 03:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 21:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 04:15 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 04:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.09%E -6.68%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.06%E -7.05%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 22:15 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.73% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |