Language:English
Washington Capitals v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Capitals (Local)
Prediction 54.27%1.84fair odd
EV -0.690%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.39%54.26%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.63%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 45.73%2.19fair odd
EV +0.610%
Edge +0.277%
Kelly +0.509%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.61%45.74%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.2050.00%48.08%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Capitals (Local): 54.27%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 45.73%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.610%.
16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.610%E +0.277%K +0.509%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.13%E -0.997%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 19:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.690%E -0.377%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 19:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:19 |