La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v Boston Bruins

Inizio: 2026-03-14 19:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 54.27%1.84quota equa
EV -0.690%
Vantaggio -0.377%
Kelly -0.831%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.22%54.39%54.26%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.63%56.50%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Bruins (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.73%2.19quota equa
EV +0.610%
Vantaggio +0.277%
Kelly +0.509%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%45.61%45.74%47.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.102.2050.00%48.08%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

16 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.610%E +0.277%K +0.509%G +0.003%5.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.13%E -0.997%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-14 19:06
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:14
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:19
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:20
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 19:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 19:19
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:20
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:14
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:07
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:20
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:19
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:19
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:07
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:07
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.690%E -0.377%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%4.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%7.4%2026-03-14 19:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%7.9%2026-03-14 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91%9.3%2026-03-14 19:20

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (16)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%4.7%2026-03-14 19:06
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-03-14 19:20
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-03-14 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-14 19:20
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-14 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%10.0%2026-03-14 19:19