La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Washington Capitals

Inizio: 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 58.15%1.72quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -4.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.43%58.19%58.22%59.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.651.651.6762.50%60.77%60.61%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.85%2.39quota equa
EV -0.818%
Vantaggio -0.345%
Kelly -0.597%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%41.81%41.78%43.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.302.3746.51%43.79%43.48%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 18:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.818%E -0.345%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 22:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 02:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.07%E -0.886%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 22:40
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:49
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 16:35
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:45
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:35
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:25
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.17%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:45
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:34
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 01:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-28 02:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-27 16:35
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-28 01:55
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%3.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%4.1%2026-03-28 02:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.51%3.1%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%4.2%2026-03-28 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%5.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%6.0%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-03-27 19:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-03-27 19:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%8.7%2026-03-27 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-03-27 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%10.1%2026-03-28 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%10.1%2026-03-28 02:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.49%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-03-27 22:45