L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 58.15%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.43%58.19%58.22%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.6762.50%60.77%60.61%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.85%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.818%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.597%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%41.81%41.78%43.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.302.3746.51%43.79%43.48%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 18:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.818%E -0.345%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 22:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 22:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 02:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.07%E -0.886%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 22:40
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:49
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 16:35
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:45
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:35
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:25
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.17%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:45
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:34
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 16:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-28 02:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-27 16:35
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-28 01:55
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-03-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%3.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%4.1%2026-03-28 02:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.51%3.1%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%4.2%2026-03-28 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%4.8%2026-03-27 19:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%5.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%6.0%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-03-27 19:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-03-27 19:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%8.7%2026-03-27 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-03-27 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%10.1%2026-03-28 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%10.1%2026-03-28 02:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.49%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-03-27 22:45