The School of Odds
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Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prediction 55.15%1.81fair odd
EV -0.733%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.916%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.05%55.15%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.69%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Mammoth (Visit)

Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd
EV -0.430%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.95%44.85%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.152.2251.28%47.13%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 55.15%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 44.85%. For Utah Mammoth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.430%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.733%E -0.407%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.733%E -0.407%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 02:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 02:04
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.02%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 01:48
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.78%E -0.811%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 17:45
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 22:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 00:54
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:04
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.02%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:00
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 01:58
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 16:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:04
Paddy Power🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:03
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:05
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.80%E -4.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.430%E -0.194%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 02:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.76%E -7.35%K -19.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.54%E -6.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-20 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 55.17%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.83%-0.4%2026-03-20 01:55
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-03-20 02:04
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-20 02:05
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-20 00:35
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-03-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-03-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-03-20 02:04
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-03-20 02:00
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-03-20 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-03-20 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-20 01:39
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.47%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.52%4.7%2026-03-20 01:59
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.2%2026-03-20 02:04
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-19 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-19 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 11:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-03-20 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-20 01:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-20 01:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.54%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%10.9%2026-03-20 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%14.3%2026-03-20 02:05