L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 55.15%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.733%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.916%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.05%55.15%56.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.69%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.85%2.23cote équitable
EV -0.430%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%44.95%44.85%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.152.2251.28%47.13%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.733%E -0.407%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.733%E -0.407%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 02:04
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 02:04
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 01:50
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.02%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:05
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 01:48
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 01:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 02:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.78%E -0.811%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 17:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 22:04
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 00:54
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:05
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:04
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.02%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:05
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:00
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 01:58
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:15
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 22:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 16:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:04
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.22%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:05
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:03
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:05
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.80%E -4.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.430%E -0.194%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.76%E -7.35%K -19.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.54%E -6.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-20 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 55.17%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.83%-0.4%2026-03-20 01:55
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-03-20 02:04
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-20 02:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-20 00:35
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-03-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-03-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-03-20 02:04
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-03-20 02:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-03-20 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-19 11:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-03-20 02:04
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-20 01:39
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.47%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.52%4.7%2026-03-20 01:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-19 11:39
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.2%2026-03-20 02:04
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-19 11:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-19 22:49
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 11:39
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-03-20 02:04
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-20 01:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-20 01:49
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.54%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%10.9%2026-03-20 01:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%14.3%2026-03-20 02:05