La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Pittsburgh Penguins

Inizio: 2026-03-13 02:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 61.17%1.63quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.946%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.74%61.12%61.22%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.561.571.6169.93%63.92%63.69%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.83%2.58quota equa
EV -0.973%
Vantaggio -0.382%
Kelly -0.628%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%38.88%38.78%40.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.272.452.452.5544.05%40.81%40.82%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.52%E -0.946%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 01:39
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-13 02:00
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 00:59
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 00:59
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 02:00
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 00:59
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 01:40
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:58
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 02:00
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.30%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 01:59
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:37
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 02:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 02:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 02:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.41%E -2.66%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.58%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 02:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 01:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:59
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:56
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 02:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 02:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 02:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 02:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 02:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 01:58
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:00
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:40
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.42%E -4.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.14%E -0.849%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 01:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.53%E -8.76%K -29.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -11.85%E -5.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 01:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-03-13 01:59
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-13 01:30
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%0.8%2026-03-13 01:58
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-13 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-13 02:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-13 01:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-13 02:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-13 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-13 01:59
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-13 01:59
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-13 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-03-13 01:59
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.15%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.06%4.6%2026-03-13 01:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-03-13 01:59
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-03-13 01:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-13 02:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-13 01:59
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-13 01:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-13 02:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%6.9%2026-03-13 01:59
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-03-13 01:14
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-13 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-03-13 01:59
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-03-13 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.7%2026-03-13 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-13 01:59
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-13 01:56
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.26%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%13.8%2026-03-13 02:00