La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vegas Golden Knights v Pittsburgh Penguins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 61.17%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.946%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%61.12%61.22%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.6169.93%63.92%63.69%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)
Predicción 38.83%2.58momio equitativo
EV -0.973%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -0.628%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%38.88%38.78%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.452.452.5544.05%40.81%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.52%E -0.946%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 01:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.36%E -2.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.30%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Caesars | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:37 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.41%E -2.66%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.58%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:56 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 01:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.19%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.973%E -0.382%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.42%E -4.19%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.14%E -0.849%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.53%E -8.76%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -11.85%E -5.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 01:58 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.15% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.06% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 01:56 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91% | 13.8% | 2026-03-13 02:00 |