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Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 48.87%2.05fair odd
EV -0.302%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.87%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.0455.25%51.14%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 51.13%1.96fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.13%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.861.851.9258.48%53.86%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 48.87%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 51.13%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -0.302%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.302%E -0.148%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 23:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.83%E -0.955%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-09 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -1.83%E -0.955%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-09 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 10:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 23:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.57%E -7.35%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-09 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 0.4% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.6% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.06% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94% | 13.5% | 2026-06-09 23:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.57% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.76% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.67% | 4.8% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-06-09 17:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99% | 7.0% | 2026-06-10 00:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51% | 11.9% | 2026-06-10 00:10 |