L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC

Score final : Vegas Golden Knights 3–5 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 48.87%2.05cote équitable
EV -0.302%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.87%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.0455.25%51.14%51.28%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.13%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.955%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.13%51.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.861.851.9258.48%53.86%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.302%E -0.148%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 23:18
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 23:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 00:09
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.83%E -0.955%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 23:59
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 00:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 23:29
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 00:10
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 23:49
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 23:29
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 23:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 00:09
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 00:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 23:19
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 23:19
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 23:19
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 23:19
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 23:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 21:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:19
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 00:04
ReBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -1.83%E -0.955%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 23:09
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 23:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 10:49
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 23:48
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 00:09
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 23:49
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.57%E -7.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-09 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-09 23:49
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-06-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-06-10 00:09
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-10 00:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-09 23:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-09 22:39
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-06-09 23:49
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-06-10 00:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 55.06%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%13.5%2026-06-09 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-06-09 22:49
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-06-09 22:49
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-06-09 22:49
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-06-09 22:49
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-06-09 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-06-10 00:10
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.57%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.76%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.67%4.8%2026-06-09 23:49
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%4.9%2026-06-09 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-06-10 00:10
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-06-10 00:10
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-06-10 00:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-06-10 00:10
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.2%2026-06-09 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-06-10 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-06-09 17:18
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%7.0%2026-06-10 00:08
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-06-09 23:49
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%7.9%2026-06-09 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-06-10 00:09
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-06-10 00:10
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%11.9%2026-06-10 00:10