La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Buffalo Sabres

Inizio: 2026-03-18 02:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 54.56%1.83quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%54.66%54.52%55.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.751.751.7862.11%57.19%57.14%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.44%2.20quota equa
EV -0.935%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -0.792%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.53%45.34%45.48%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.62%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.39%E -0.640%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-18 01:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 01:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 18:00
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 21:55
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 15:00
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:00
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.935%E -0.429%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.935%E -0.429%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:30
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:14
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 16:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:53
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 21:55
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:15
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 18:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:15
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:15
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:15
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 16:50
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.25%E -4.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.16%E -7.55%K -19.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.30%E -6.37%K -13.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 23:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-17 22:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-18 01:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-17 18:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-17 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-03-18 00:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-17 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-17 23:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-17 23:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-17 23:30
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18%3.2%2026-03-18 01:00
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%4.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-18 00:54
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-03-18 01:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-17 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-17 23:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-17 23:30
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-17 23:30
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-17 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-17 19:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-18 00:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%8.2%2026-03-17 23:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%8.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-18 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%9.5%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.68%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%10.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.75%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%14.1%2026-03-18 00:55