L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vegas Golden Knights v Buffalo Sabres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 54.56%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%54.66%54.52%55.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.751.751.7862.11%57.19%57.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.44%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.935%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -0.792%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.53%45.34%45.48%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.62%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.39%E -0.640%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.935%E -0.429%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.935%E -0.429%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 22:14 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 22:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.52%E -2.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.25%E -4.27%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.16%E -7.55%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.30%E -6.37%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-17 22:30 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 23:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.69% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.68% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.75% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19% | 14.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |