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Vancouver Canucks v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Prediction 32.82%3.05fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.83%32.87%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.892.903.0036.76%34.54%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 67.18%1.49fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%67.17%67.13%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.421.431.4576.92%70.26%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 32.82%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 67.18%. For Vancouver Canucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.64%E -6.35%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 00:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -2.19%E -0.734%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -2.52%E -0.847%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.84%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.28%E -3.74%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.95%E -4.25%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 00:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.95%E -4.25%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.45%E -2.26%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.45%E -2.26%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -6.78%E -2.39%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.11%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.59%E -1.79%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.34%EV -10.72%E -3.94%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -12.67%E -9.75%K -42.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61% | -0.1% | 2026-03-09 19:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.40% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95% | 11.0% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89% | 11.3% | 2026-03-10 00:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46% | 13.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |