L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Ottawa Senators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 32.82%3.05cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%32.83%32.87%34.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.722.892.903.0036.76%34.54%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.18%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -5.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.88%67.17%67.13%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.421.431.4576.92%70.26%69.93%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-10 00:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 01:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 21:59
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.64%E -6.35%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 00:56
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -2.19%E -0.734%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 00:30
ReBet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -2.52%E -0.847%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 00:30
Caesars2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.84%E -0.961%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:29
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 00:29
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 00:29
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 00:29
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.28%E -3.74%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.95%E -4.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:55
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:50
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:49
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:09
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 21:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 15:10
MyBookie.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 00:28
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.81%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.95%E -4.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 00:29
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:59
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.45%E -2.26%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 18:05
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.45%E -2.26%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 00:29
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -6.78%E -2.39%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 00:59
SportsBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.11%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.94%E -2.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:00
Betsson2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:49
NordicBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.26%E -2.27%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:50
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.59%E -1.79%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:04
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.61%E -3.25%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 21:59
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.34%EV -10.72%E -3.94%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -12.67%E -9.75%K -42.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-10 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61%-0.1%2026-03-09 19:39
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-03-10 01:00
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-09 18:25
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-09 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-03-10 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-03-10 01:00
Novig3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%1.7%2026-03-10 01:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-03-10 00:59
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-03-10 00:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-09 22:50
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-09 22:50
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%3.7%2026-03-10 00:29
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.40%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%4.7%2026-03-10 00:59
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%5.4%2026-03-09 22:50
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%5.4%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%5.4%2026-03-09 22:49
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%6.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%6.9%2026-03-10 00:29
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%8.1%2026-03-10 00:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%8.7%2026-03-10 01:00
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%9.0%2026-03-10 00:29
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%9.2%2026-03-10 00:59
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%10.3%2026-03-10 00:29
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-03-10 01:00
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%11.3%2026-03-10 00:57
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%13.7%2026-03-10 00:59