Language:English
Vancouver Canucks v Calgary Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%50.39%50.28%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.881.9456.18%53.05%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visit)
Prediction 49.66%2.01fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.61%49.72%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.921.9954.95%52.00%52.08%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 50.34%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 49.66%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.35%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.35%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.17%E -0.587%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:57 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.36%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.65%E -1.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.15%E -2.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.16%E -1.10%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.64%E -2.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.64%E -2.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 01:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -10.40%E -5.84%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -9.61%E -5.28%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 01:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 01:32 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60% | 14.9% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |