Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks v Calgary Flames

2026-10-04 02:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.47%50.32%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.891.9354.64%53.03%52.91%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Flames (Visit)

Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.53%49.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.921.9753.48%51.80%51.95%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 50.43%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 49.57%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.97, with an expected value of -2.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.66%E -1.38%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-02 19:01
Caesars🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 19:05
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 15:44
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-02 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 15:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 18:50
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 16:50
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 16:50
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.19%E -3.33%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 16:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 16:49
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 16:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-10-02 19:05
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-02 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-10-02 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-10-02 19:01
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-10-02 18:50
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%10.2%2026-10-02 18:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-02 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-02 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-02 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-02 19:05
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.99%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.53%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%3.0%2026-10-02 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.00%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-10-02 17:49
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-10-02 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-10-02 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-10-02 19:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-10-02 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-10-02 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-02 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-02 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%9.0%2026-10-02 18:54
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-10-02 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%10.4%2026-10-02 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.15%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%12.5%2026-10-02 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%14.6%2026-10-02 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.21%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.48%18.6%2026-10-02 18:55