默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vancouver Canucks v Calgary Flames

2026-10-04 02:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

50%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vancouver Canucks (主队)

预测 50.30%1.99公平赔率

EV -2.92%

优势 -1.51%

Kelly -3.14%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%50.39%50.26%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.831.891.891.9354.64%53.02%52.91%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Calgary Flames (客队)

预测 49.70%2.01公平赔率

EV -2.10%

优势 -1.06%

Kelly -2.16%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布

48.68%49.61%49.74%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.871.931.931.9753.48%51.81%51.81%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Vancouver Canucks (主队)：50.30%；Calgary Flames (客队)：49.70%。对于“Calgary Flames (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.97，期望值为-2.10%，未产生正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.59%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-10-02 19:01
Caesars🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-02 15:50
BetRivers🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-02 19:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-02 19:55
betPARX🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-02 19:54
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-02 15:44
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-02 19:55
BetUS🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-02 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.10%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.10%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-02 17:14
Bet Right🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-02 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 15:50
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 15:50
Bovada🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-02 19:14
NordicBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 18:50
Betsson🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 18:50
PlayUp🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-02 18:49
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-02 16:50
Fliff🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-02 18:40
FanDuel🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-02 18:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-02 16:50
GTbets🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-02 17:24
SportsBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-02 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 16:50
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 16:49
Neds🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-02 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-02 16:50
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.95%E -4.34%K -9.57%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-02 18:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Polymarket◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-10-02 17:20
Novig◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%	1.5%	2026-10-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%	1.8%	2026-10-02 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%	1.8%	2026-10-02 19:01
Kalshi◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%	2.9%	2026-10-02 18:50
Smarkets◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%	10.2%	2026-10-02 18:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%	2.8%	2026-10-02 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%	2.8%	2026-10-02 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%	2.8%	2026-10-02 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.14%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%	2.8%	2026-10-02 19:54
1xBet🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.99%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.53%	4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%	3.0%	2026-10-02 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.00%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%	4.7%	2026-10-02 17:49
Casumo🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%	5.0%	2026-10-02 19:55
Grosvenor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%	5.0%	2026-10-02 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%	5.0%	2026-10-02 19:55
Unibet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%	5.0%	2026-10-02 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%	6.0%	2026-10-02 19:15
TABtouch🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%	6.5%	2026-10-02 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%	6.9%	2026-10-02 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%	6.9%	2026-10-02 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%	2.41I 41.49%NM 38.05%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%	9.0%	2026-10-02 18:54
Betway🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%	9.2%	2026-10-02 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%	10.4%	2026-10-02 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%	2.33I 42.92%NM 38.15%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%	12.5%	2026-10-02 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.79%	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%	14.6%	2026-10-02 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 39.21%	2.20I 45.45%NM 38.32%	3.75I 26.67%NM 22.48%	18.6%	2026-10-02 18:55