Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Mammoth v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 01:10 UTC

Final: Utah Mammoth 5–3 Winnipeg Jets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.54%65.12%67.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.461.471.5074.07%68.51%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%34.46%34.88%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.752.752.9639.68%36.34%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 65.38%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 34.62%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV +2.48%E +0.838%K +1.27%G +0.031%4.2%2026-04-15 01:05
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +2.13%E +0.724%K +1.09%G +0.023%3.8%2026-04-15 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.750%E +0.258%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.3%2026-04-15 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.750%E +0.258%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.3%2026-04-15 01:04
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-15 01:05
Paddy Power🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-15 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-15 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:30
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 01:05
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.37%E -0.839%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 01:05
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.40%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 00:10
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:34
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:30
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.56%E -2.83%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.56%E -2.83%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 00:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.25%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 19:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 23:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 01:00
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 00:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -11.74%E -8.70%K -33.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -12.75%E -5.06%K -8.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-15 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-15 00:45
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-04-15 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-04-15 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-04-15 01:00
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.83%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.17%1.3%2026-04-15 00:55
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-04-15 01:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-04-15 01:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-04-15 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-04-15 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-04-14 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-04-14 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49%4.6%2026-04-15 00:55
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.51%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.97%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-04-15 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%4.9%2026-04-15 01:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-04-14 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-04-14 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%6.9%2026-04-15 00:54
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-04-15 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%7.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-15 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%8.2%2026-04-15 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.6%2026-04-15 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-04-15 00:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%9.2%2026-04-15 01:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%12.4%2026-04-14 22:30