L’École des cotesFrançais
Utah Mammoth v Winnipeg Jets
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prévision 65.38%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.54%65.12%67.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.461.471.5074.07%68.51%68.03%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Winnipeg Jets (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.62%2.89cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.838%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.42%34.46%34.88%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.522.752.752.9639.68%36.34%36.36%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV +2.48%E +0.838%K +1.27%G +0.031% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +2.13%E +0.724%K +1.09%G +0.023% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.750%E +0.258%K +0.393%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.750%E +0.258%K +0.393%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 01:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.404%E +0.139%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 00:30 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.466%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.37%E -0.839%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.40%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 00:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.56%E -2.83%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.56%E -2.83%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.25%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 19:29 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -11.74%E -8.70%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -12.75%E -5.06%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-15 00:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 00:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.83% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 34.17% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 00:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.58% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.51% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.97% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 00:54 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69% | 12.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |