Language:English
Utah Mammoth v Vegas Golden Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.10%47.84%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.55%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)
Prediction 51.97%1.92fair odd
EV -0.741%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.814%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.90%52.16%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 48.03%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 51.97%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.741%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.54%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.30%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.54%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.42%E -2.98%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.741%E -0.388%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.65%E -6.86%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 02:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99% | -0.1% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | -0.0% | 2026-05-02 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.17% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 01:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 02:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 02:02 |