默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Utah Mammoth v Vegas Golden Knights

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 02:15 UTC

最终结果: Utah Mammoth 1–5 Vegas Golden Knights

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Utah Mammoth (主队)

预测 48.03%2.08公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.749%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.10%47.84%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.55%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vegas Golden Knights (客队)

预测 51.97%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.741%
优势 -0.388%
Kelly -0.814%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.90%52.16%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Utah Mammoth (主队):48.03%;Vegas Golden Knights (客队):51.97%。 对于“Vegas Golden Knights (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-0.741%,未产生正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.54%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.30%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 02:09
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.54%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 02:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.42%E -2.98%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 02:09
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 02:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 01:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:09
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:09
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:06
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:02
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 02:02
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 02:09
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 02:00
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 02:09
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 02:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 02:09
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 02:09
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 02:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.741%E -0.388%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.65%E -6.86%K -16.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 02:01
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-05-02 02:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-05-02 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-02 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-02 02:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-02 02:09
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-02 02:09
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%1.2%2026-05-02 02:10
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-02 02:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-02 02:09

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-05-02 02:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-05-02 02:02
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-05-02 02:02
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-05-02 02:02
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%4.7%2026-05-02 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.17%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-05-02 01:59
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-05-02 02:09
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-05-02 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-05-02 02:02
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-05-02 02:02
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-05-02 02:02
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%5.6%2026-05-02 02:09
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%6.3%2026-05-02 02:02
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-02 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%6.9%2026-05-02 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-05-02 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%7.1%2026-05-02 01:58
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-02 02:09
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%7.5%2026-05-02 02:02
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-05-02 02:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%12.5%2026-05-02 02:02