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Utah Mammoth v Vegas Golden Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prediction 49.35%2.03fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.900%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.37%49.29%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.931.951.9956.18%51.84%51.28%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)
Prediction 50.65%1.97fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.63%50.71%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.871.9257.80%53.26%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 49.35%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 50.65%. For Utah Mammoth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -1.79%E -0.900%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 05:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 07:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.38%E -7.16%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.65% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |