L’École des cotesFrançais
Utah Mammoth v Vegas Golden Knights
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prévision 49.35%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.900%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%49.37%49.29%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.951.9956.18%51.84%51.28%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.65%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.63%50.71%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.871.9257.80%53.26%53.48%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -1.79%E -0.900%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 05:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:16 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.79%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 07:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 04:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.38%E -7.16%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.65% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |