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Utah Mammoth v Pittsburgh Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prediction 57.98%1.72fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.92%58.02%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.661.651.6965.79%60.42%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.08%41.98%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3347.62%44.22%43.86%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 57.98%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 42.02%. For Utah Mammoth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.10%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.10%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 01:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 01:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.63%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.86%E -7.80%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.77%E -5.60%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.75% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 41.25% | -1.0% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.13% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 00:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10% | 11.0% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |