L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v Pittsburgh Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 57.98%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%57.92%58.02%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.661.651.6965.79%60.42%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.02%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.08%41.98%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.282.3347.62%44.22%43.86%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 01:04
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 01:05
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 01:05
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.10%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 01:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 01:05
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 01:05
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 01:05
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 01:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 01:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 01:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.10%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 01:02
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:59
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:05
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:50
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 01:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 01:04
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 01:05
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 01:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 01:02
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 01:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.63%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 01:05
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.86%E -7.80%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.77%E -5.60%K -10.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.75%2.45I 40.82%NM 41.25%-1.0%2026-03-15 00:59
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-03-15 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-15 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-15 01:05
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-15 01:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77%1.0%2026-03-15 01:04
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-15 01:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-15 01:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-15 01:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-15 01:05
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-15 01:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-15 01:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-15 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%3.7%2026-03-15 01:05
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-15 01:05
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.13%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-15 00:59
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.8%2026-03-15 00:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-15 01:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-03-15 01:05
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-15 01:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-15 01:04
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-15 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-03-15 01:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-15 00:59
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-15 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92%9.9%2026-03-15 01:04
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%11.0%2026-03-15 01:05