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Utah Mammoth v Minnesota Wild
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.99%56.02%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.7463.69%58.52%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Wild (Visit)
Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.01%43.98%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.162.2350.00%46.28%46.30%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 56.00%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 44.00%. For Minnesota Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.88%E -0.843%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 06:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 12:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 07:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 00:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.62% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.38% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 02:02 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-02-27 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.80% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.68% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.08% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 00:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.89% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 02:03 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.18% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.26% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |