L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 56.00%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%55.99%56.02%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.711.7463.69%58.52%58.48%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.00%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.01%43.98%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.162.2350.00%46.28%46.30%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.88%E -0.843%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-02-28 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 00:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 00:54
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 06:40
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 21:09
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 12:16
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 12:19
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 01:39
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 01:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 00:44
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 00:34
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:58
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 00:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 22:24
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:28
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 07:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 01:56
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:34
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 00:09
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 00:10
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.64%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 00:09
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 00:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:04
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 00:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.62%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.38%-0.2%2026-02-28 01:59
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-02-28 02:04
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-02-28 01:54
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-02-28 02:02
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-27 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-28 02:00
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-02-28 01:54

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-02-28 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-02-28 00:19
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-02-28 00:19
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-02-28 00:19
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.80%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%3.8%2026-02-28 02:04
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.68%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-02-28 00:39
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.89%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-02-28 01:54
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-02-28 01:49
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-02-28 00:19
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-02-28 00:19
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-02-28 00:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-02-28 00:19
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-02-28 00:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-02-27 15:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-02-28 02:04
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-02-28 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%8.5%2026-02-28 02:04
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-02-28 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%9.6%2026-02-28 02:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%10.0%2026-02-28 01:49
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.18%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%10.8%2026-02-28 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.26%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%14.1%2026-02-28 02:04