Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Toronto Maple Leafs v Philadelphia Flyers
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Toronto Maple Leafs (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 54.77%1.83kurs godziwy
EV -1.97%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -2.49%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.95%54.88%54.78%56.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.741.741.7961.73%57.51%57.47%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Philadelphia Flyers (Goście)
Prognoza 45.23%2.21kurs godziwy
EV -0.484%
Przewaga -0.220%
Kelly -0.403%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.59%45.12%45.22%46.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.922.112.102.2052.08%47.31%47.62%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -1.97%E -1.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 23:35 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:48 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 00:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 03:09 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 11:54 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 21:15 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.28%E -6.96%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -13.15%E -6.85%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-02 23:38 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 20:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-02 21:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 18:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.88% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 23:49 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-03-02 18:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 20:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 23:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.44% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29% | 10.1% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10% | 11.0% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |