La scuola delle quote

Toronto Maple Leafs v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-03-03 00:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)

Previsione 54.77%1.83quota equa
EV -1.97%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%54.88%54.78%56.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.741.7961.73%57.51%57.47%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.23%2.21quota equa
EV -0.484%
Vantaggio -0.220%
Kelly -0.403%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.59%45.12%45.22%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.112.102.2052.08%47.31%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -1.97%E -1.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-02 23:40
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-03 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-03 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:19
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 23:35
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:48
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 00:04
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 00:15
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 00:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:15
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:40
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 03:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 11:54
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:15
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:15
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 14:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 21:15
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:15
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:15
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:40
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.484%E -0.220%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.28%E -6.96%K -18.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -13.15%E -6.85%K -14.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-02 23:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-03 00:15
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-02 20:04
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-03-03 00:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-03-02 23:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-02 21:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-02 18:19
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-03-03 00:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.88%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%3.2%2026-03-03 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-03-02 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-03-02 23:40
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-02 20:54
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-02 23:49
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-02 23:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-03-02 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-02 18:44
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%7.4%2026-03-02 23:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-02 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-03-02 20:54
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-03 00:15
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-02 23:48
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%10.1%2026-03-02 23:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%11.0%2026-03-02 23:40