Lingua:Italiano
Toronto Maple Leafs v Montréal Canadiens
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)
Previsione 50.30%1.99quota equa
EV -1.92%
Vantaggio -0.983%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.33%50.41%50.00%52.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.891.901.9555.56%52.83%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)
Previsione 49.70%2.01quota equa
EV +0.396%
Vantaggio +0.196%
Kelly +0.388%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.40%49.59%50.00%50.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.911.912.0255.56%52.22%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa): 50.30%; Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta): 49.70%. Per Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.01. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.02, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.396%.
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.46%E -4.65%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.396%E +0.196%K +0.388%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.35%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.598%E -0.299%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -1.59%E -0.804%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -1.59%E -0.804%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 19:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 04:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 12:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 11:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.95%E -4.35%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 22:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.46%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.54%E -5.85%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-29 22:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (9)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 23:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-09-29 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 22:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.80% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.59% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.14% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76% | 12.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.78% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76% | 12.6% | 2026-09-29 22:59 |