La scuola delle quote

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montréal Canadiens

2026-09-29 23:10 UTC — NHL

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25 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)

Previsione 50.85%1.97quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.73%50.92%51.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.881.871.9154.64%53.24%53.48%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.15%2.03quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.82%49.27%49.08%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.931.951.9653.48%51.82%51.28%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

18 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 12:45
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 12:50
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 22:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 00:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 01:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 04:30
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.04%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.04%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 16:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 04:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:19
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 16:05
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.91%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:30
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 18:44
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.09%E -4.33%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 18:23
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.09%E -4.33%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 18:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-07-24 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-07-24 12:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (18)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.99%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.22%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.79%3.0%2026-07-21 15:15
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-07-21 15:10
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:19
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-07-17 18:44
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%6.5%2026-07-21 16:25
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-07-25 10:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-07-17 18:44
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%12.0%2026-07-24 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%12.9%2026-07-18 17:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.22%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%13.3%2026-07-17 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.21%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.48%18.6%2026-07-17 18:49