Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montréal Canadiens

2026-09-29 23:10 UTC — NHL

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)

Previsione 50.85%1.97quota equa
EV -0.848%
Vantaggio -0.435%
Kelly -0.892%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.61%50.86%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.871.871.9558.82%53.60%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.15%2.03quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.847%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.14%48.95%50.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.931.932.0056.18%51.87%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa): 50.85%; Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta): 49.15%. Per Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.97. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.95, con un valore atteso del -0.848%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -0.848%E -0.435%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 05:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -0.848%E -0.435%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 00:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 04:30
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:00
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 17:58
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 04:20
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:29
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.17%E -1.61%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 19:30
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15%EV -13.56%E -7.98%K -19.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -12.51%E -7.03%K -16.04%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-19 13:53
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.57%15.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-08 23:19

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (20)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.79%3.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%4.9%2026-07-21 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.01%5.5%2026-07-30 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%6.5%2026-07-21 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-09-04 10:35
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%12.0%2026-07-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.28%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.78%13.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%18.3%2026-09-05 23:05