Idioma:Español
Toronto Maple Leafs v Montréal Canadiens
Resultado del partido
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Predicción 50.85%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.848%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.892%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.61%50.86%51.05%52.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.871.871.9558.82%53.60%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 49.15%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.14%48.95%50.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.932.0056.18%51.87%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Maple Leafs (Local): 50.85%; Montréal Canadiens (Visitante): 49.15%. Para Toronto Maple Leafs (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.95, con un valor esperado de -0.848%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
20 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -0.848%E -0.435%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 05:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -0.848%E -0.435%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 04:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 01:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 17:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 04:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.17%E -1.61%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.69%E -0.847%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.59%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15%EV -13.56%E -7.98%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -12.51%E -7.03%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-19 13:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.57% | 15.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (20)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.79% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.01% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68% | 9.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12% | 12.0% | 2026-07-24 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.28% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.78% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25% | 18.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |