La scuola delle quote

Toronto Maple Leafs v Dallas Stars

Inizio: 2026-04-13 23:42 UTC

Finale: Toronto Maple Leafs 5–6 Dallas Stars

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Casa)

Previsione 36.36%2.75quota equa
EV -0.384%
Vantaggio -0.140%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.53%36.38%36.31%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.422.612.622.7441.32%38.31%38.17%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Stars (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.64%1.57quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%63.62%63.69%64.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.501.501.5372.46%66.62%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -0.384%E -0.140%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-13 23:36
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 23:37
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.20%E -0.818%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 23:37
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.20%E -0.818%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 23:37
Paddy Power2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 23:39
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 23:38
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 23:36
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:37
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 23:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
ReBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 23:29
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:39
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:40
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:39
Bet Right2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 23:40
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 23:39
MyBookie.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.11%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 23:34
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 23:39
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 23:39
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 23:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:35
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.92%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 23:35
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.92%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 23:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:36
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:36
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:37
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:37
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 23:39
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 23:40
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -12.02%E -4.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -12.17%E -8.82%K -32.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-13 23:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%-0.0%2026-04-13 23:29
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-13 23:40
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%3.1%2026-04-13 23:40
Novig2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%3.7%2026-04-13 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%4.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%4.4%2026-04-13 23:40
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%5.7%2026-04-13 23:40
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%10.4%2026-04-13 23:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-13 23:39
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-13 23:39
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-13 23:39
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-13 23:39
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.14%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-04-13 23:29
1xBet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.61%4.8%2026-04-13 23:29
Coolbet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-04-13 23:36
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-04-13 23:39
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%5.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%5.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%5.4%2026-04-13 23:39
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-04-13 23:40
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%7.3%2026-04-13 23:39
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%7.5%2026-04-13 23:39
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%8.1%2026-04-13 23:28
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-04-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%8.9%2026-04-13 23:40
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%9.4%2026-04-13 23:40
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%11.9%2026-04-13 23:39