L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Toronto Maple Leafs v Dallas Stars
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV -0.384%
Avantage -0.140%
Kelly -0.221%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.53%36.38%36.31%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.612.622.7441.32%38.31%38.17%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Dallas Stars (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.64%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%63.62%63.69%64.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.501.501.5372.46%66.62%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -0.384%E -0.140%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 23:36 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.20%E -0.818%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.20%E -0.818%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| Paddy Power | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 23:38 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 23:36 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| ReBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| GTbets | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Caesars | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.11%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.92%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.92%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:36 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:36 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 23:37 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -12.02%E -4.97%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -12.17%E -8.82%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Novig | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.14% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.61% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:36 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 23:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79% | 11.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |