Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Maple Leafs v Buffalo Sabres

2026-10-15 23:10 UTC — NHL

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)

Previsão 52.27%1.91odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.918%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.04%52.21%52.22%53.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.79%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Buffalo Sabres (Visitante)

Previsão 47.73%2.10odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%47.79%47.78%48.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.21%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Maple Leafs (Local): 52.27%; Buffalo Sabres (Visitante): 47.73%. Para Toronto Maple Leafs (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.88, com valor esperado de -1.73%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

19 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.73%E -0.918%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.46%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.46%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 21:19
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-14 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.11%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-14 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.11%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-14 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 19:49
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:04
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 19:49
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 17:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 19:09
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 19:44
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 20:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 17:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 15:54
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 17:39
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 17:40
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.48%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 20:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.89%E -4.09%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.89%E -4.09%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-10-14 21:20
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-10-14 21:20
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-14 20:15
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-10-14 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-10-14 20:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%9.4%2026-10-14 19:40

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (19)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-10-14 21:19
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.70%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.07%3.2%2026-10-14 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-14 21:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-14 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-14 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.7%2026-10-14 19:44
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-14 21:18
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-10-14 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-10-14 21:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-10-14 21:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%5.9%2026-10-14 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-10-14 21:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-10-14 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%7.1%2026-10-14 20:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-10-14 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%10.1%2026-10-14 20:50
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-10-14 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.00%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%16.1%2026-10-14 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%17.6%2026-10-14 19:30