Langue:Français
Toronto Maple Leafs v Buffalo Sabres
Résultat du match
Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)
Prévision 52.27%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.918%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.04%52.21%52.22%53.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.79%54.64%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.73%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%47.79%47.78%48.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.21%50.00%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Toronto Maple Leafs (Local) : 52.27% ; Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur) : 47.73%. Pour Toronto Maple Leafs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.88, pour une espérance de -1.73% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
19 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.73%E -0.918%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.46%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.46%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-14 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.11%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.11%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 19:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 19:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 17:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 20:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 15:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.48%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-14 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.89%E -4.09%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.89%E -4.09%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 20:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-10-14 21:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 21:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-14 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-10-14 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-10-14 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 19:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (19)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.70% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.07% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.18% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 21:18 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 21:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 20:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.88% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63% | 10.1% | 2026-10-14 20:50 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.00% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36% | 16.1% | 2026-10-14 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.49% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53% | 17.6% | 2026-10-14 19:30 |