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Tampa Bay Lightning v Vancouver Canucks

2026-10-17 20:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)

Prediction 75.63%1.32fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -8.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.15%75.47%75.67%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.261.271.2984.03%79.11%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vancouver Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.340%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.53%24.33%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.934.0627.78%25.77%25.45%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Lightning (Local): 75.63%; Vancouver Canucks (Visit): 24.37%. For Vancouver Canucks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.06, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 21:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 21:50
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.21%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 17:44
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 22:00
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.86%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 22:00
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 15:05
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 18:44
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 21:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 18:35
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 17:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 19:54
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 21:59
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 21:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -10.01%E -8.41%K -52.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38%0.4%2026-10-16 21:50
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-16 21:35
Polymarket◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-16 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-16 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-16 18:35
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-16 22:15
Smarkets◎1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-10-16 21:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.14%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.34%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.51%3.2%2026-10-16 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%3.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%3.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%3.6%2026-10-16 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%3.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%4.3%2026-10-16 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.11%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.53%4.7%2026-10-16 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%5.0%2026-10-16 22:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%5.2%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%5.2%2026-10-16 21:59
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%5.2%2026-10-16 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%6.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%6.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%6.9%2026-10-16 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.88%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%6.9%2026-10-16 21:49
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%7.6%2026-10-16 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%8.3%2026-10-16 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%8.8%2026-10-16 22:10
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%10.7%2026-10-16 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%13.5%2026-10-16 21:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.52%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%15.1%2026-10-16 22:00