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Tampa Bay Lightning v Vancouver Canucks
Resultado del partido
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Predicción 75.63%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -8.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.15%75.47%75.67%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.261.271.2984.03%79.11%78.74%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vancouver Canucks (Visitante)
Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.256%
Kelly -0.340%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%24.53%24.33%25.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.934.0627.78%25.77%25.45%24.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tampa Bay Lightning (Local): 75.63%; Vancouver Canucks (Visitante): 24.37%. Para Vancouver Canucks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.10. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.06, con un valor esperado de -1.04%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-16 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-16 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-16 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.256%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-16 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-16 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.21%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.86%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-16 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 21:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -10.01%E -8.41%K -52.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-16 21:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-16 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-10-16 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.14% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.34% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.51% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.57% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.08% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.87% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.53% | 4.7% | 2026-10-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.49% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75% | 6.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75% | 6.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.88% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58% | 7.6% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86% | 10.7% | 2026-10-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74% | 13.5% | 2026-10-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.52% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75% | 15.1% | 2026-10-16 22:00 |