語言:繁體中文
Tampa Bay Lightning v Montréal Canadiens
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)
預測 62.36%1.60公平賠率
EV -2.72%
優勢 -1.74%
Kelly -4.86%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.56
博彩公司預測分布
60.76%62.37%62.32%64.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.411.531.541.5670.92%65.23%64.94%64.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Montréal Canadiens (客隊)
預測 37.64%2.66公平賠率
EV -0.248%
優勢 -0.094%
Kelly -0.151%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.65
博彩公司預測分布
35.99%37.63%37.68%39.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.352.532.542.6542.55%39.57%39.37%37.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)：62.36%；Montréal Canadiens (客隊)：37.64%。 對於「Montréal Canadiens (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.66的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.65，期望值為-0.248%，未產生正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (36 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.14%E -2.04%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.248%E -0.094%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 23:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.78%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.27%E -2.52%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.02%E -2.84%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.02%E -2.84%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.13%E -0.819%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.13%E -0.819%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.78%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.78%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.78%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 23:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.00%E -0.381%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.00%E -0.381%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.38%E -0.526%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 23:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.09%E -4.76%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.248%E -0.094%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.08%E -8.56%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.54%E -4.91%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38% | -0.2% | 2026-04-21 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (21)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.53% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.34% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 22:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 23:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16% | 12.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |