La scuola delle quote

Tampa Bay Lightning v Columbus Blue Jackets

Inizio: 2026-03-10 23:09 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)

Previsione 67.71%1.48quota equa
EV -3.17%
Vantaggio -2.22%
Kelly -7.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%67.77%67.72%68.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.411.421.4377.52%70.99%70.42%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Columbus Blue Jackets (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.29%3.10quota equa
EV -0.552%
Vantaggio -0.179%
Kelly -0.265%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.19%32.23%32.28%33.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.952.963.0836.36%33.87%33.84%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:20
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 21:13
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.552%E -0.179%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 20:55
Paddy Power1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 18:39
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 22:10
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 18:35
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:18
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:40
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 08:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 18:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:15
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 21:15
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.59%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 15:15
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:35
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.78%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:00
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 22:59
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -1.20%E -0.391%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 22:58
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:25
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:20
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.10%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 18:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:25
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 21:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.82%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 22:58
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.82%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.07%EV -12.65%E -9.81%K -43.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-10 07:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.88%3.21I 31.15%NM 31.12%0.1%2026-03-10 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 22:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-10 19:35

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%4.5%2026-03-10 22:23
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.05%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%4.5%2026-03-10 20:34
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.91%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.26%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.83%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%5.9%2026-03-10 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%6.3%2026-03-10 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%7.0%2026-03-10 21:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%7.3%2026-03-10 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%8.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%9.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%11.1%2026-03-10 22:54