L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Lightning v Columbus Blue Jackets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 23:09 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)

Prévision 67.71%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -7.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.35%67.77%67.72%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.411.421.4377.52%70.99%70.42%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.29%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.552%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.265%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%32.23%32.28%33.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.963.0836.36%33.87%33.84%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:20
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 21:13
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -0.552%E -0.179%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 20:55
Paddy Power1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 18:39
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 22:10
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 18:35
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:18
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:40
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 08:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 18:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:15
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 21:15
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.59%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 15:15
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:35
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.78%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:00
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.53%E -3.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 22:59
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -1.20%E -0.391%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 22:58
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:25
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:20
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.10%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 18:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:25
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.20%E -3.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 21:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.82%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 22:58
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.82%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.07%EV -12.65%E -9.81%K -43.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-10 07:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.88%3.21I 31.15%NM 31.12%0.1%2026-03-10 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 22:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-10 19:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-10 22:20
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%4.5%2026-03-10 22:23
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.05%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%4.5%2026-03-10 20:34
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.91%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.26%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.83%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%5.9%2026-03-10 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%6.3%2026-03-10 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%7.0%2026-03-10 21:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%7.3%2026-03-10 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%8.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%9.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%11.1%2026-03-10 22:54