L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Boston Bruins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 60.96%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.05%61.09%60.95%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.571.6169.93%64.01%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Boston Bruins (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.04%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.457%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.295%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%38.91%39.05%39.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.462.452.5544.05%40.70%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.85%E -1.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -1.85%E -1.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.53%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 20:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:33 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 20:58 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.70%E -2.80%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.70%E -2.80%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.457%E -0.179%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.58%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.58%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.75%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.457%E -0.179%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 23:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.457%E -0.179%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.457%E -0.179%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 23:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.82%E -8.97%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -11.39%E -5.02%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.07% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.20% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 20:58 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.98% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 20:58 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.39% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |