The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Kraken v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -0.221%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%36.89%37.05%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.582.602.7042.19%38.83%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 63.04%1.59fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%63.11%62.95%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.521.531.5571.43%65.84%65.36%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 36.96%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 63.04%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.221%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.221%E -0.082%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.06%E -4.07%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 02:04
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 01:55
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 07:43
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 21:09
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 20:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 02:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 02:29
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:42
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:41
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 02:00
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:54
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 01:45
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 22:54
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 01:44
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 20:55
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 20:54
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 01:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 01:49
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 02:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 08:00
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 02:00
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 01:54
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.98%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
NordicBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.98%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -12.42%E -5.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -11.74%E -8.38%K -29.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-04-10 01:59
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-04-10 02:04
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 01:55
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 02:05
ProphetX◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-10 02:05
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:42
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-04-10 01:29
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.80%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-04-10 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.8%2026-04-10 02:00
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-04-10 00:05
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.2%2026-04-10 01:45
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:42
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:41
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:41
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-04-10 01:42
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-10 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-10 01:25
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-04-10 01:41
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%7.4%2026-04-10 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-04-10 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-10 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-04-10 01:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-04-10 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%12.4%2026-04-10 01:41