L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 36.96%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.221%
Avantage -0.082%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%36.89%37.05%38.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.582.602.7042.19%38.83%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.04%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -4.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.73%63.11%62.95%64.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.5571.43%65.84%65.36%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.221%E -0.082%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.06%E -4.07%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 02:04
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 01:55
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 07:43
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:53
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 21:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.07%E -0.780%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 20:54
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 02:29
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 02:29
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 20:10
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:42
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:41
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 12:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 19:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 02:00
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:54
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 01:45
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 22:54
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 19:35
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 01:44
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:35
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 20:55
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 20:54
ReBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 01:45
MyBookie.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 01:49
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.28%E -1.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 02:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.54%E -2.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 08:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.17%E -2.74%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 13:50
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.80%E -3.18%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 02:00
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 01:54
Betsson2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.98%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
NordicBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.98%E -3.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.91%E -1.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -12.42%E -5.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -11.74%E -8.38%K -29.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-04-10 01:59
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-04-10 02:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 01:55
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 02:05
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-10 02:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-04-10 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:42
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-10 01:41
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-04-10 01:29
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.80%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-04-10 01:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.8%2026-04-10 02:00
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-04-10 00:05
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.2%2026-04-10 01:45
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:42
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:41
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.5%2026-04-10 01:41
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-04-10 01:42
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-10 02:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-10 01:25
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-04-10 01:41
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%7.4%2026-04-10 02:05
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-04-10 01:45
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-10 02:00
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-04-10 01:49
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-04-10 02:00
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%12.4%2026-04-10 01:41