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Seattle Kraken v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Kraken (Local)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -0.909%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%40.86%40.81%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.352.4346.08%42.76%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.14%59.19%60.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.611.621.6767.57%61.92%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 40.78%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 59.22%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.909%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.909%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.51%E -5.30%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.35%E -8.35%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.63% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.89% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 20:44 |