L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v Ottawa Senators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 40.78%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.909%
Avantage -0.374%
Kelly -0.635%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.80%40.86%40.81%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.342.352.4346.08%42.76%42.55%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.22%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%59.14%59.19%60.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.611.621.6767.57%61.92%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.909%E -0.374%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 02:59
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 01:59
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 02:00
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 02:59
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 02:29
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:14
Everygame2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 17:20
Bet Right2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:44
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:14
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 17:14
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:14
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:14
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:44
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:19
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:14
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:19
Paddy Power2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 02:59
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:19
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 02:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 02:59
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:30
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.39%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:29
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 03:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:15
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:04
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:29
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 02:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:58
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.10%E -0.659%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.51%E -5.30%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.35%E -8.35%K -25.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%-0.1%2026-03-08 02:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-08 03:00
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-08 03:00
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-08 02:59
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-08 03:00
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-08 00:29
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-03-08 03:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-07 21:14
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.47%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%4.3%2026-03-07 21:49
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-08 02:59
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.63%4.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-03-07 21:19
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-03-07 21:19
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-03-07 21:19
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%6.8%2026-03-07 21:14
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-07 22:54
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-03-07 21:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-08 03:00
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-08 02:58
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%11.1%2026-03-08 02:59
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.89%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-07 20:44