The School of Odds
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Seattle Kraken v Florida Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.63%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.042.052.1053.19%49.00%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.712%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.37%53.25%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.86%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 46.66%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 53.34%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:10
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 23:55
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:55
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 22:04
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 22:15
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 00:05
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 16:49
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.32%E -0.712%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 00:05
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:20
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:20
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.28%E -6.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -11.99%E -7.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-03-15 23:45
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-03-16 00:05
Novig◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-16 00:05
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-15 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-16 00:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-16 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-03-16 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-03-15 23:45
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04%4.8%2026-03-15 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-15 23:20
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%6.5%2026-03-15 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-16 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-15 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%8.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-16 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-16 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-16 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.71%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-15 23:50